Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 314.791726 358.242850 407.184091 466.721352 537.632364 619.936252 723.493728
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 243.218452 296.823897 362.875972 451.463920 569.048271 722.511951 942.649902
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 204.841875 261.091721 334.450008 439.310684 589.076170 801.348358 1136.691853
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 186.420334 246.465269 328.652866 452.853331 642.281119 932.032461 1434.173545
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 169.184185 230.326174 317.353684 455.046337 677.030484 1039.800309 1723.010263
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 152.558960 212.652437 300.949310 446.050218 691.166177 1115.246240 1975.224460
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 141.224310 201.243834 292.110918 446.946661 720.664084 1221.832662 2317.992094
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 129.300387 187.596271 278.048229 436.892365 728.681728 1289.669039 2601.702030
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 120.646412 178.115986 269.444821 434.664620 750.039280 1387.285611 2985.882968
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 109.605114 163.845672 251.539826 413.647113 731.945382 1399.476927 3166.436304
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 106.861466 162.733876 255.421199 432.440480 795.380909 1601.976289 3928.734924
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 105.357737 163.477158 262.447885 457.926500 877.281302 1868.952999 5015.705412
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 99.852455 157.140519 256.652448 458.337773 906.556437 2020.185877 5842.290613
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 92.870625 147.742626 244.524149 444.641049 901.869013 2083.574844 6408.746927
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 86.822422 139.533342 233.853020 432.628436 899.046863 2151.755306 7041.126937
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 84.512421 137.795879 235.119092 445.918496 960.101035 2422.057293 8716.956370
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 81.057039 133.707698 231.487502 448.068789 993.586893 2621.075785 10257.068490
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 76.670149 127.596654 223.384801 439.245424 996.712842 2724.390366 11418.172069
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 73.679685 123.886373 219.728966 440.124693 1026.413166 2928.575961 13367.729434
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 69.829070 118.304447 211.860604 430.262479 1024.327220 3020.280465 14746.725157
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 67.016841 114.536314 207.416832 428.077143 1044.195082 3202.303747 16986.658034
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 62.672803 107.569227 195.867751 407.456983 1005.943770 3146.465021 17416.852388
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 62.165275 108.046347 199.948968 425.895287 1090.349911 3623.036321 22952.474492